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🌪️ SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK – SUNDAY, APRIL 27, 2025
SPC Risk Level: SLIGHT (Level 2 of 5)
Valid through 7 AM CDT Monday

📍 Major Cities in Risk Zones
🟡 SLIGHT Risk (2.04M people): Lubbock, TX, Amarillo, TX, Midland, TX, Odessa, TX, Rapid City, SD
🟢 MARGINAL Risk (8.57M people): Minneapolis, MN, St. Paul, MN, Lincoln, NE, Sioux Falls, SD, Billings, MT

🌪️ Tornado Risk Zones
🟤 5% Tornado Risk: Lubbock, TX, Amarillo, TX, Garden City, KS, Dodge City, KS, North Platte, NE
🟢 2% Tornado Risk: Midland, TX, Salina, KS, Grand Island, NE, Hutchinson, KS, Kearney, NE

What the Percentages Mean
A 5% tornado risk means you have a 1 in 20 chance of a tornado occurring within 25 miles of your location, and today's environment could favor isolated but strong storms with large hail and some tornadoes.

📝 Overview
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected this evening and tonight across parts of the Great Plains, particularly from west Texas into western Kansas, western Nebraska, and the Dakotas.
The main threats are very large hail, severe winds, and a few tornadoes, especially near the dryline and surface low setups.

⛈️ Hazards Include
🧊 Large to very large hail (up to 2–3” possible)
🌪️ A few tornadoes, especially early evening near dryline convergence zones
💨 Damaging winds, particularly later tonight as clusters form

🕓 Timeline
🕓 Mid to Late Afternoon (4–7 PM CDT): Isolated supercells form along the dryline from TX into NE
🌆 Evening (7–10 PM CDT): Peak threat for tornadoes and giant hail, especially from Amarillo north through western KS
🌒 Overnight (10 PM–2 AM CDT): Storms merge into clusters; hail and wind threat persists but tornado risk lowers

📌 Regional Notes
🟤 West Texas and Panhandle: Best environment for discrete supercells with tornado and giant hail potential
🟡 Western Kansas/Nebraska: Isolated supercells possible; strong wind shear supports tornado potential early
🟢 Northern Plains into MN: Elevated storms overnight with a lower risk for severe weather

⚠️ Stay Weather-Aware
If you're near Lubbock, Amarillo, or Garden City, be ready for severe storms late this afternoon into the evening.
Have your weather apps active, alerts on loud, and a shelter plan ready.



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